Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.28%) and 3-2 (4.78%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.