Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 57.31%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
