Exeter City play host to Portsmouth in the last 32 of the EFL Trophy on Friday evening having both recently returned to action after spells of inactivity.
Pompey are down in eighth position in League One, albeit with a game in hand, while the home side sit just outside of the League Two playoffs.
Match preview
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Like many clubs in the EFL, Portsmouth have had to spend a frustrating period on the sidelines over the Christmas period, Danny Cowley's side going as many as 23 days without a game.
Portsmouth would have expected to return to action with all three points against a misfiring Cambridge United outfit, but a goalless draw away from home was satisfactory given the circumstances.
As well as extending their unbeaten streak in League One to 10 matches, Pompey have also kept five successive clean sheets in the third tier.
However, while goals have not always been a problem for this side, just three have been netted in 360 minutes, leaving them with the joint-sixth worst return in the division.
Despite winning just one of their three group games, Cowley's side somehow progressed through to the last 32, aided by a 3-0 triumph over Crystal Palace Under-21s in their final fixture.
Exeter were also reliant on a final-game result, a 5-3 victory over Bristol Rovers backing up draws in their previous games to earn top spot ahead of Chelsea Under-21s.
However, the Grecians have prevailed in just one of their last eight contests in all competitions, a run which has seen the club drop outside of the League Two playoffs and eliminated from the FA Cup.
Four defeats had been posted in succession before Tuesday's trip to leaders Forest Green Rovers, but it was Exeter who came away from the match frustrated that they had only collected a point from a goalless draw.
While the result does not help their promotion bid in the short term, Matt Taylor was delighted with a performance which came off the back of a tough run of opponents in the fourth tier.
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Team News
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With this game representing Exeter's third within a week of their return, Taylor will surely make several alterations to his side.
Ben Seymour, Sam Stubbs and Kyle Taylor will all expect to be involved after their substitute outings in midweek, while goalkeeper Scott Brown may get an opportunity between the sticks.
Despite impressing in the previous two matches, youngster Cheick Diabate may drop down to the substitutes' bench.
Although his Portsmouth squad have had an extra day of recovery, Cowley may want to give game time to many of the players who featured among the replacements last time out.
Michael Jacobs, Lee Brown, John Marquis, Ellis Harrison, Miguel Azeez, Alex Bass and Paul Downing all appear likely to be handed chances in the first XI.
Exeter City possible starting lineup:
Brown; Kite, Stubbs, Grounds; Key, Taylor, Collins, Dieng, Caprice; Jay, Seymour
Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Bass; Dowing, Raggett, Ogilvie; Romeo, Morrell, Azeez, Brown; Jacobs; Marquis, Harrison
We say: Exeter City 1-2 Portsmouth
While Exeter impressed against Forest Green in midweek, you have to anticipate that several alterations will be made. With that in mind, we are backing Pompey to edge this contest by the odd goal in three, potentially during the latter stages.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
