Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.