Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.