Earthquakes4 - 0Salt Lake
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
for
Wednesday, February 19 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Champions League
for
We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes will be lifted by the fans in their first competitive match under Arena's management, and with Salt Lake having an unfavourable record at the Avaya Stadium, we believe the hosts will scrape a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
41.06% ( 0.35) | 24.25% ( -0.05) | 34.69% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 60.15% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.58% ( 0.17) | 42.42% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.17% ( 0.17) | 64.82% ( -0.17) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( 0.23) | 20.8% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.54% ( 0.37) | 53.46% ( -0.37) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.09) | 24.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.68% ( -0.13) | 58.31% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.69% |
