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Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
3 - 1
Earthquakes

Bouanga (64'), Atuesta (75'), Santos (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yueill (9')
Rodrigues (31'), Akapo (53'), Verhoeven (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-0 San Jose Earthquakes

Goal difference could make the difference between first and second in the west, which is why we project the Black and Gold will show no mercy against a helpless defensive unit in San Jose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 7.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
80.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 12% (0.028 0.03) 7.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.475 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.87% (-0.402 -0.4)26.12% (0.397 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.63% (-0.515 -0.52)46.37% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.07% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)4.92% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.25% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)19.75% (0.217 0.22)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.68% (-0.457 -0.46)43.31% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.44% (-0.382 -0.38)79.55% (0.37899999999999 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 80.73%
    San Jose Earthquakes 7.27%
    Draw 12%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
3-0 @ 9.7% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 8.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 7.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 6.11% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 4.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-1 @ 3.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.56% (-0.05 -0.05)
6-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
7-0 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 80.73%
1-1 @ 5.37% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.13% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 12%
1-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 7.27%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 3.30am
Round of 16
Los Angeles
4-1
Earthquakes
Olivera (17'), Bouanga (45+5' pen., 66'), Bogusz (61')
Lopez (41')
Yarbrough (45+2'), Russell (50')
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
6-2
Earthquakes
Bogusz (15', 48'), Bouanga (26'), Kamara (33'), Hollingshead (42'), Angel (87')
Rodrigues (45+3'), Kikanovic (57')
Costa (46')
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Earthquakes
3-1
Los Angeles
Rodrigues (5'), Pellegrino (55'), Bouanga (59' og.)
Skahan (10'), Costa (75')
Olivera (69')
Chanot (25'), Palencia (61')
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
2-1
Earthquakes
Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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