Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Concarneau had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Concarneau win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Concarneau
57.72% ( 0.96)	23.62% ( -0.25)	18.65% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 47.65% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.97% (

0.05)

52.02% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.24% (

0.04)

73.76% (

-0.04)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.2% (

0.37)

17.8% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.48% (

0.64)

48.52% (

-0.64)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.96% (

-0.78)

42.03% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.53% (

-0.68)

78.46% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 57.71%

Concarneau 18.65%

Draw 23.62%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Concarneau
1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 57.71%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.65%