Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 48.09%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.