Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nimes win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
