Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Mar 5, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa0 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Necaxa (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, May 7 at 11.45pm in Liga MX
Saturday, May 7 at 11.45pm in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Atletico San Luis | 34 | -5 | 43 |
13 | Necaxa | 34 | -6 | 43 |
14 | Toluca | 34 | -16 | 42 |
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Necaxa | 34 | -6 | 43 |
14 | Toluca | 34 | -16 | 42 |
15 | Mazatlan | 33 | -11 | 38 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Necaxa | Draw | Toluca |
43.21% | 28.13% | 28.66% |
Both teams to score 45.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8% | 60.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.61% | 80.38% |
Necaxa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% | 27.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% | 63.17% |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.9% | 37.1% |