Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Apr 7, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca2 - 2Monterrey
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Monterrey 2-2 Atletico San Luis (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Sunday, May 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Santos Laguna vs. Monterrey
Monday, July 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Monday, July 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Mazatlan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Monterrey |
27.59% | 25% | 47.41% |
Both teams to score 54.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.16% | 48.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.06% | 70.93% |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% | 31.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% | 68.32% |
Monterrey Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% | 20.63% |