Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 20, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca0 - 1Juarez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Queretaro 4-0 Juarez
Saturday, April 30 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, April 30 at 11pm in Liga MX
Next Game: Guadalajara vs. Juarez
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Juarez | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Mazatlan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Juarez |
| 54.16% | 24.7% | 21.14% |
| Both teams to score 48.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% | 53.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% | 74.73% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% | 19.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.51% | 51.49% |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.02% | 39.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.37% | 76.63% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 54.16%
Juarez 21.14%
Draw 24.7%
| Toluca | Draw | Juarez |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.83% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.14% |
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3am
Juarez
1-3
Toluca
Galvan (35')
Armoa (27')
Armoa (27')
May 1, 2021 3.30am
Juarez
1-0
Toluca
Sambueza (34')
Sep 9, 2020 1am
Apr 5, 2020 6pm
Aug 5, 2019 1am
Juarez
2-0
Toluca
Fernandez (17'), Sagal (49')
Castro (29'), Fernandez (86')
Castro (29'), Fernandez (86')
