Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.33%) and 3-0 (12.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Ashdod
77.1% ( -0.92)	16.02% ( 0.67)	6.87% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 35.59% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.86% (

-1.94)

48.14% (

1.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

-1.81)

70.3% (

1.8)

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.38% (

-0.74)

10.62% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.56% (

-1.69)

34.44% (

1.68)

Ashdod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.82% (

-0.54)

60.18% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.26% (

-0.28)

90.74% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv 77.1%

Ashdod 6.87%

Draw 16.02%

Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Ashdod
2-0 @ 16.07% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.69) 3-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.22) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.15) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.05% Total : 77.1%	1-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.02%	0-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.78% Total : 6.87%