Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 6.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.33%) and 3-0 (12.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.