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Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 27, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Bloomfield Stadium

Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 - 1
Ashdod

Zahavi (52'), Revivo (59'), Awany (70' og.), Milson (84')
Revivo (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Levi (90+4')
Ben-Zaken (36'), Kamaheni (55')
Kamaheni (86')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Ashdod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-1 Celje
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ashdod 0-1 Qarabag
Thursday, July 29 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.33%) and 3-0 (12.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for an Ashdod win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawAshdod
77.1% (-0.92100000000001 -0.92) 16.02% (0.672 0.67) 6.87% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 35.59% (-0.776 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-1.942 -1.94)48.14% (1.939 1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (-1.806 -1.81)70.3% (1.803 1.8)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (-0.741 -0.74)10.62% (0.738 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.56% (-1.687 -1.69)34.44% (1.684 1.68)
Ashdod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.82% (-0.536 -0.54)60.18% (0.533 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.26% (-0.275 -0.28)90.74% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 77.1%
    Ashdod 6.87%
    Draw 16.02%
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawAshdod
2-0 @ 16.07% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 14.33% (0.69 0.69)
3-0 @ 12.01% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 6.73% (-0.315 -0.32)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.195 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.223 -0.22)
5-0 @ 3.02% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.153 -0.15)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 77.1%
1-1 @ 7.28% (0.229 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.498 0.5)
2-2 @ 2.07% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.02%
0-1 @ 3.25% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 1.85% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 6.87%

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