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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta logo

Lecce
0 - 2
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-0)
De Ketelaere (48'), Scamacca (53')
Hateboer (25'), Bilal Toure (37'), Pasalic (44'), Toloi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Udinese
Monday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Lecce 1-2 Atalanta BC

Atalanta have posted three wins from their last four away matches in Serie A, and they can continue in that vein this weekend. With no time to dwell on events in midweek, the Europa League finalists should prove too strong for Lecce, who have improved under new management but remain vulnerable at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
26.86% (1.05 1.05) 26.31% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 46.83% (-1.115 -1.11)
Both teams to score 49.51% (0.662 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (0.447 0.45)54.52% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (0.369 0.37)75.88% (-0.376 -0.38)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52% (1.126 1.13)35.48% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (1.15 1.15)72.24% (-1.156 -1.16)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.32300000000001 -0.32)23.27% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.47000000000001 -0.47)57.19% (0.463 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.86%
    Atalanta BC 46.82%
    Draw 26.31%
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.219 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 26.86%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 12.03% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.325 -0.32)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.82%

How you voted: Lecce vs Atalanta

Lecce
10.5%
Draw
15.0%
Atalanta BC
74.4%
133
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-0
Lecce
Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Zapata (40')
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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