While Al Ittihad are likely to remain without their French international Karim Benzema for this match, Abderrazak Hamdallah has stepped up in a big way and will be looking to add to his 17-goal tally for the season in this one. Al Fayha deserve to be respected here but we feel the hosts will edge the result by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Fayha
61.84% ( 0.09)	20.13% ( -0.04)	18.02% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.84% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.09% (

0.1)

37.9% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.83% (

0.1)

60.16% (

-0.1)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.2% (

0.05)

11.79% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.99% (

0.12)

37.01% (

-0.11)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.58% (

34.42% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.87% (

-0)

71.13% (

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 61.84%

Al Fayha 18.02%

Draw 20.13%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Fayha
2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.16% Total : 61.84%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.13%	1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 18.02%