Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
