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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 15.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Gillingham |
65.29% ( -0.11) | 19.41% ( 0.05) | 15.29% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.28% ( -0.09) | 39.72% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.93% ( -0.09) | 62.07% ( 0.08) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.59% ( -0.06) | 11.4% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.83% ( -0.12) | 36.16% ( 0.11) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.22% ( 0.03) | 38.78% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.48% ( 0.03) | 75.51% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Gillingham |
2-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.05% Total : 65.29% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.41% | 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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