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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
41.43% ( -0.16) | 24.51% ( 0.08) | 34.05% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.05% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.21% ( -0.36) | 43.79% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.82% ( -0.35) | 66.18% ( 0.35) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% ( -0.23) | 21.21% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.89% ( -0.36) | 54.1% ( 0.35) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( -0.13) | 25.05% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% ( -0.17) | 59.73% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |