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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Mansfield Town

Wrexham
2 - 0
Mansfield

Mullin (32', 67' pen.)
McClean (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (45'), Reed (69'), Lewis (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Mansfield Town

This promises to be a closely contested game due to how much is on the line when it comes to the League Two promotion battle, and their previous encounters this season have showcased that there is little to split them. However, with Wrexham boasting a home advantage and the confidence that Mansfield has been unable to beat them this season, it could be Parkinson's men that edges this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
41.43% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16) 24.51% (0.081 0.08) 34.05% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.05% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.362 -0.36)43.79% (0.36 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.355 -0.35)66.18% (0.352 0.35)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)21.21% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.359 -0.36)54.1% (0.355 0.35)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.126 -0.13)25.05% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)59.73% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 41.43%
    Mansfield Town 34.05%
    Draw 24.51%
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.05%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Mansfield

Wrexham
85.7%
Draw
4.8%
Mansfield Town
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
1-2
Wrexham
Oates (60')
Reed (68')
Dalby (23'), Mullin (58')
Evans (32'), Davies (90+3')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Mansfield
0-0
Wrexham
Clarke (18'), Cargill (19')
Evans (69')
Apr 1, 2008 3pm
Mansfield
2-1
Wrexham
Mullins (54'), Louis (51' pen.)
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Mansfield
Proctor (70')
Bolland (35')
Boulding (53')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
Mansfield
Williams (12'), Proctor (65')
Jelleyman (27'), White (41'), Hamshaw (65'), Brown (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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