League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
We said: Wrexham 2-1 Accrington Stanley
Both teams head into this fixture in rather shaky form, but given Wrexham's impressive record at the Racecourse Ground this season, with no team taking more points at home than Wrexham so far this campaign, we expect them to emerge victorious.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.8% . A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.07% .
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.62%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%) , while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (4.95%) . The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result Wrexham Draw Accrington Stanley 61.8% ( 0.01) 20.12% ( 0) 18.07% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 58% ( -0.05)
62.24% ( -0.05) 37.74% ( 0.04)
40% ( -0.05) 59.99% ( 0.05)
88.23% ( -0.02) 11.76% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 63.06% ( -0.03) 36.93% ( 0.02)
65.73% ( -0.05) 34.26% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.03% ( -0.05) 70.95% ( 0.05)
Wrexham 61.8%
Accrington Stanley 18.07%
Draw 20.12%
Wrexham Draw Accrington Stanley 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 4.19% Total : 61.8% 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.12% 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 18.07%
How you voted: Wrexham vs Accrington
Wrexham
Draw
Accrington Stanley
14
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 14:10:38
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