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Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Mansfield
1 - 0
Forest Green

Nichols (20')
Nichols (77'), Lewis (84'), Clarke (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Inniss (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Mansfield may have failed to win any of their last three games against Forest Green, but we think that they will end that run when they face a side that have lost seven of their last nine away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
69.96% (-1.695 -1.7) 17.55% (0.721 0.72) 12.49% (0.974 0.97)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.54% (-0.864 -0.86)37.46% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.32% (-0.933 -0.93)59.68% (0.932 0.93)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39% (-0.61800000000001 -0.62)9.61% (0.6181 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.89% (-1.467 -1.47)32.11% (1.467 1.47)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (1.019 1.02)41.35% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (0.887 0.89)77.87% (-0.88800000000001 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.96%
    Forest Green Rovers 12.49%
    Draw 17.55%
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.363 -0.36)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.99% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 69.96%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.338 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 3.63% (0.245 0.25)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 12.49%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Forest Green

Mansfield Town
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Forest Green Rovers
12.5%
48
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Forest Green
0-4
Mansfield

Robson (16'), Thompson (54')
Clarke (11', 90+7'), Nichols (69'), Swan (78')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Mansfield
2-2
Forest Green
Longstaff (17'), Bowery (78')
McLaughlin (37')
Adams (64'), March (80')
March (81')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Forest Green
1-0
Mansfield
March (14')
Matt (39'), Wilson (79'), Adams (84')

Hawkins (11'), Wallace (38'), Hewitt (90')
Lapslie (49')
Mar 23, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 28
Mansfield
0-0
Forest Green
Law (65'), McLaughlin (81'), Reid (82')
Wilson (62')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Forest Green
1-2
Mansfield
Bailey (85')
Cadden (38'), Winchester (45+2')
Lapslie (6'), Charsley (35')
Benning (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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