Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.