Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.