We said: Mallorca 1-1 Girona
Mallorca will be aiming to make it back-to-back home wins over Girona, but the Pirates have struggled of late, and we are finding it difficult to back either with any real confidence on Saturday, instead predicting a low-scoring draw at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.