La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Mallorca2 - 1Valencia
We said: Mallorca 1-1 Valencia
Both La Liga matches between the two sides last season finished level, and we can see another stalemate here. Mallorca have home advantage, but Arrasate's team will be missing a number of key players, and we are expecting Valencia to be good enough to claim a point on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
38.11% ( 0.12) | 30.61% ( -0.15) | 31.28% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.18% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.78% ( 0.44) | 67.22% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.58% ( 0.29) | 85.41% ( -0.3) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.32) | 34.18% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.13% ( 0.34) | 70.87% ( -0.34) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% ( 0.27) | 38.96% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.32% ( 0.25) | 75.68% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Mallorca 38.11%
Valencia 31.28%
Draw 30.6%
| Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.6% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.54% Total : 31.28% |
How you voted: Mallorca vs Valencia
Mallorca
46.2%Draw
33.0%Valencia
20.9%91
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
Oct 22, 2022 5.30pm
Form Guide
