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Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 4
Apr 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
HaMoshava Stadium

H. Tel Aviv
1 - 5
Beitar

Tchibota (83' pen.)
Abukasis (0'), Torial (87')
Blorian (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dahan (4'), George (50'), Shua (55'), Soro (78'), Dabush (84')
Morozov (26'), Kriaf (82')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hapoel Tel Aviv

All competitions
Last Game: M. Petah Tikva 4-2 H. Tel Aviv
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Beitar Jerusalem

All competitions
Last Game: H. Petah Tikva 0-2 Beitar
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Tel AvivDrawBeitar Jerusalem
31.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 41.04% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.11% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)54.89% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82% (-0.07 -0.07)76.18% (0.065000000000012 0.07)
Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)31.81% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.044 -0.04)68.25% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Beitar Jerusalem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)26.31% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)61.44% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hapoel Tel Aviv 31.98%
    Beitar Jerusalem 41.03%
    Draw 26.98%
Hapoel Tel AvivDrawBeitar Jerusalem
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.98%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.03%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 18
H. Tel Aviv
0-1
Beitar

Archel (19'), Meir (50'), Layous (83'), Blorian (84')
Friday (75')
Soro (70'), Dgani (84'), Zasno (90+8')
Oct 2, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
Beitar
0-3
H. Tel Aviv

Soro (33'), Micha (67'), Dahan (84')
Ozbolt (36', 54'), Layous (57')
Rodriguez (11'), Layous (74'), Binyamin (84'), Senior (87'), Segal (89')
rhs 2.0
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