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Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Yud-Alef Stadium

Ashdod
0 - 1
Hapoel Hadera


Mucha (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Madmon (68')
Trost (35'), Levy (63')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Ashdod and Hapoel Hadera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ashdod 1-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: Hapoel Hadera 1-2 Hapoel
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
AshdodDrawHapoel Hadera
51.42% (-0.158 -0.16) 25.88% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 22.7% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 46.88% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)56% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (-0.073 -0.07)77.09% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Ashdod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.105 -0.11)21.84% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)55.06% (0.16 0.16)
Hapoel Hadera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (0.052999999999997 0.05)40.02% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (0.049000000000003 0.05)76.67% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ashdod 51.41%
    Hapoel Hadera 22.7%
    Draw 25.87%
AshdodDrawHapoel Hadera
1-0 @ 13.29%
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 51.41%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 22.7%

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