MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:57:55| >> :60:139:139:
Poland national football team
International Friendly
Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Chile national football team

Poland
1 - 0
Chile

Piatek (85')
Bednarek (63'), Piatek (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Soto (22'), Nunez (51'), Medel (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Poland and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Wales 0-1 Poland
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 2-2 Qatar
Tuesday, September 27 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Poland 3-1 Chile

 As much as Poland will want to enter the World Cup on a high, Michniewicz could do without losing some key names to injury, and the hosting manager will certainly rotate heavily during the match. With Sanchez in strong form at club level, Chile will hope to consign their recent scoreless streak to history, but Berizzo's leaky crop are still unlikely to experience much joy in Warsaw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Chile had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawChile
50.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 67.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.04% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.67% (0.012 0.01)52.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.72% (0.002999999999993 0)39.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)22.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (0.012 0.01)55.37% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Poland 50.16%
    Chile 28.52%
    Draw 21.32%
PolandDrawChile
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.16%
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.29%
4-3 @ 1.2%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 8.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.3%
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 28.52%

How you voted: Poland vs Chile

Poland
73.8%
Draw
12.8%
Chile
13.4%
164
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2018 7.45pm
Poland
2-2
Chile
Lewandowski (30'), Zielinski (34')
Valdes (38'), Albornoz (56')
Vegas (26'), Araos (87')
> Match Report
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