Although Chile are ranked 13 places higher than their opponents, they head into Tuesday's friendly bereft of confidence, and we think that they will be held to a draw by Qatar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Qatar
43.92% ( 0.04)	25.71% ( -0.01)	30.38% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.56% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

0.02)

50.31% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

0.02)

72.26% (

-0.02)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18% (

0.03)

22.83% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45% (

0.05)

56.55% (

-0.04)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

-0.01)

30.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

-0.01)

66.83% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chile 43.91%

Qatar 30.38%

Draw 25.7%

Chile	Draw	Qatar
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.91%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.38%