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Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
 
Chile national football team

Brazil
4 - 0
Chile

Neymar (44' pen.), Junior (45+1'), Coutinho (72' pen.), Richarlison (90+1')
Paqueta (22'), Casemiro (60'), Neymar (62'), Junior (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Diaz (62'), Bravo (69'), Medel (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's 2022 World Cup qualifier against Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42
Last Six:
Last Game: South Korea 2-0 Chile
Monday, June 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Brazil 3-1 Chile

Unlike Brazil, the pressure is on Chile to perform and claim maximum points in Rio de Janeiro on Thursday, if their hopes of qualification are to remain alive. The Selecao, however, are unbeaten in 14 international matches on home soil and as strong favourites, they should be able to get the job done against a spirited Chile outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chile had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.97%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawChile
65.12%22.04%12.84%
Both teams to score 39.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48%55.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3%76.7%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54%16.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85%46.15%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.85%52.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.9%86.1%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 65.12%
    Chile 12.84%
    Draw 22.04%
BrazilDrawChile
1-0 @ 15.48%
2-0 @ 13.97%
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 5.47%
4-0 @ 3.79%
4-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.78%
5-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 65.12%
1-1 @ 10.08%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.59%
1-2 @ 3.28%
0-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 12.84%

How you voted: Brazil vs Chile

Brazil
75.0%
Draw
10.7%
Chile
14.3%
168
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2021 2am
CONMEBOL Standings
Chile
0-1
Brazil

Andres Morales Bravo (79'), Pulgar (82'), Vegas (87'), Maripan (90+6')
Ribeiro (64')
Guimaraes (45+2'), Marquinhos (84'), Gerson (90+3'), Neymar (90+6')
Jul 3, 2021 1am
Brazil
1-0
Chile
Paqueta (46')
Ederson (81')
Jesus (48')

Sierralta (58'), Palacios (76'), Vidal (88')
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Brazil
3-0
Chile
Paulinho (55'), Jesus (57', 93')
Coutinho (40'), Neymar (45')

Sanchez (54'), Isla (68')
Jun 28, 2014 5pm
Brazil
1-1
Chile
Brazil win 3-2 on penalties
rhs 2.0
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