World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jan 27, 2022 at 9pm UK
Ecuador1 - 1Brazil
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Brazil.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's 2022 World Cup CONMEBOL qualifier against Ecuador.
We said: Ecuador 1-2 Brazil
Brazil will unsurprisingly be the strong favourites to come away with all three points on Thursday, though Ecuador cannot be underestimated having impressed as the 'best of the rest' behind the Selecao and Argentina. Tite has plenty of attacking options to fill the void left by the injured Neymar and their quality in the final third should be enough to help them edge past the hosts in Quito. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.57%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Ecuador win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Brazil |
| 18.16% | 24.09% | 57.75% |
| Both teams to score 45.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
