World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jan 27, 2022 at 9pm UK
Ecuador1 - 1Brazil
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Brazil.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's 2022 World Cup CONMEBOL qualifier against Ecuador.
We said: Ecuador 1-2 Brazil
Brazil will unsurprisingly be the strong favourites to come away with all three points on Thursday, though Ecuador cannot be underestimated having impressed as the 'best of the rest' behind the Selecao and Argentina. Tite has plenty of attacking options to fill the void left by the injured Neymar and their quality in the final third should be enough to help them edge past the hosts in Quito. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.57%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Ecuador win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ecuador | Draw | Brazil |
18.16% | 24.09% | 57.75% |
Both teams to score 45.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% | 54.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% | 75.8% |
Ecuador Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.97% | 44.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.85% | 80.14% |
Brazil Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% | 18.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.98% | 50.02% |
Score Analysis |
Ecuador 18.16%
Brazil 57.74%
Draw 24.08%
Ecuador | Draw | Brazil |
1-0 @ 6.75% 2-1 @ 4.64% 2-0 @ 2.77% 3-1 @ 1.27% 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.66% Total : 18.16% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 13.79% 0-2 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-4 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 0.91% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.16% Total : 57.74% |
How you voted: Ecuador vs Brazil
Ecuador
16.0%Draw
18.5%Brazil
65.5%455
Head to Head
Jun 27, 2021 10pm
Jun 5, 2021 1.30am
Sep 1, 2017 1.45am
Sep 10, 2014 2am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 12:25:54
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | France | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Poland | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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