Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
