Peru

1 - 0

Bolivia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 83.76%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.12%) and 1-0 (12.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.