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Hertha Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Leipzig logo

Hertha Berlin
0 - 3
RB Leipzig


Cunha (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sabitzer (28'), Mukiele (71'), Orban (84')
Sabitzer (45')

Preview: Hertha Berlin vs. RB Leipzig - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hertha Berlin take on RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Sunday, with the visitors looking to maintain pressure on Bayern Munich at the top of the table.

Hertha, meanwhile, sit outside of the relegation zone on goal difference only, so are desperate for a victory.


Match preview

Hertha Berlin head coach Pal Dardai on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Having lost four matches in a row, Hertha started their trip to Stuttgart in understandably cagey fashion, with Sasa Kalajdzic punishing them moments before the half-time interval after marginally staying onside from Borna Sosa's free-kick to head home the opener.

However, Pal Dardai has helped his side remain more competitive in matches since taking over last month, with Matheus Cunha desperately unfortunate not to equalise when seeing his delicately dinked finish miraculously cleared off the line by the back-peddling Waldemar Anton.

Ultimately, it was 17-year-old Luca Netz who salvaged a point for the Bundesliga strugglers, latching onto Sami Khedira's pass to coolly slot past Gregor Kobel with only eight minutes of normal time remaining.

That point proved priceless as Arminia Bielefeld's surprising draw at Bayern Munich on Monday night means the two sides are now level on 18 points, so the pressure is well and truly on Dardai to navigate his side away from danger in the coming weeks.

RB Leipzig centre-back Dayot Upamecano celebrates in October 2020© Reuters

While Arminia's result in Munich did Hertha little favours, Julian Nagelsmann would have taken great pleasure from it as it ensures Bayern are now only five points ahead of his side having played the same amount of games.

Hansi Flick's side have a daunting trip to Eintracht Frankfurt on Saturday, too, so Leipzig may have a chance to peg that gap back even further ahead of their trip to Berlin on Sunday.

Nagelsmann's side were simply too good for Augsburg during their 2-1 win over Heiko Herrlich's outfit last Friday, with goals from Dani Olmo and Christopher Nkunku capping a rampant first half before the foot came off the accelerator, allowing Daniel Caligiuri to set up a nervy finish.

However, Leipzig suffered great disappointment with a 2-0 defeat to Liverpool in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 knockout tie on Tuesday night, leaving them with plenty of work to do to overturn that deficit at Anfield next month. For now, the focus must shift back to hunting the Bavarians down at the top of the Bundesliga.

Hertha Berlin Bundesliga form: DLLLLD

RB Leipzig Bundesliga form: DWLWWW
RB Leipzig form (all competitions): LWWWWL


Team News

Emil Forsberg celebrates scoring for RB Leipzig on November 4, 2020© Reuters

Hertha appear to be without Jhon Cordoba, Dedryck Boyata, Javairo Dilrosun, Marvin Plattenhardt, Jordan Torunarigha and Nemanja Radonjic due to injury for the visit of Leipzig.

Khedira will be hoping his positive impact at his former club last weekend will earn him a start in midfield, with his experience potentially pivotal as Dardai's side look to avoid relegation.

Leipzig, meanwhile, will travel to Berlin without Dominik Szoboszlai, Emil Forsberg and Konrad Laimer due to injury.

Nagelsmann will likely make changes from the midweek defeat to Liverpool, with Yussuf Poulsen, Willi Orban and Ibrahima Konate potentially coming back into the starting XI.

Hertha Berlin possible starting lineup:
Jarstein; Pekarik, Stark, Alderete, Mittelstadt; Tousart, Khedira, Guendouzi; Lukebakio, Piatek, Cunha

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Konate, Upamecano, Halstenberg; Adams, Kampl, Sabitzer, Angelino; Olmo, Nkunku; Poulsen


SM words green background

We say: Hertha Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig

We can envisage a narrow victory for Leipzig on Sunday, with Hertha likely to make things difficult for Nagelsmann's side.

However, if they can nullify the threat of Cunha, the visitors should have enough to sneak a crucial win as they look to maintain the pressure on Bayern.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Hertha Berlin
19.0%
Draw
9.5%
RB Leipzig
71.4%
42
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1SC PaderbornSC Paderborn136612216624
2Karlsruher SCKarlsruher136522622423
3Elversberg1364324141022
4Hannover137151712522
5FC Koln136342520521
6Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf136341815321
7Hamburger SV135532819920
8SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt135442824419
9Nuremberg135352623318
10Magdeburg124622017318
11Hertha Berlin135352222018
12KaiserslauternKaiserslautern124532018217
13Schalke 04Schalke133462326-313
14Greuther Furth133462026-613
15Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig123361424-1012
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