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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 14
Dec 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
PAOK

Asteras
1 - 4
PAOK

Zukanovic (63')
Alvarez (45+2'), Alagbe Adefunyibomi (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Murg (34', 69'), Despodov (59', 90')
Schwab (86')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and PAOK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Asteras 1-0 Panserraikos
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 4-2 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
Asteras TripolisDrawPAOK
31.09% (0.297 0.3) 27.27% (-0.369 -0.37) 41.63% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.05% (1.192 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (1.458 1.46)56.26% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (1.164 1.16)77.3% (-1.167 -1.17)
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (0.97800000000001 0.98)33.15% (-0.98 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (1.067 1.07)69.74% (-1.07 -1.07)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (0.718 0.72)26.63% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.94 0.94)61.87% (-0.942 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Asteras Tripolis 31.09%
    PAOK 41.62%
    Draw 27.27%
Asteras TripolisDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.09%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.506 -0.51)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.118 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.62%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
PAOK
3-0
Asteras
Murg (22'), Zivkovic (54', 59')
Taison (45+4'), Soares (90')

Munafo (78')
Feb 13, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
Asteras
2-2
PAOK
Sito (90'), Atienza (90+4')
Nasberg (6'), Brandon (82')
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
PAOK
2-2
Asteras
Kurtic (81' pen.), Oliveira (90+7')
Stanko (45+2'), Tilica (54' pen.)
Dec 19, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
PAOK
3-2
Asteras
Akpom (43'), Kurtic (49' pen., 90' pen.)
Schwab (74')
Soni (12'), Christopoulos (60')
Munafo (65'), Alvarez (66'), Carmona (87'), Garcia (88')
Sep 19, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Asteras
0-1
PAOK

Kanellopoulos (26'), Santafe Mena (77')
Vieirinha (27' pen.)
Schwab (42'), Michailidis (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Aris ThessalonikiAris126331711621
2AEK AthensAEK Athens116321641221
3OlympiacosOlympiacos11632179821
4PAOKPAOK116231912720
5PanathinaikosPanathinaikos11542107319
6PanetolikosPanetolikos11533128418
7Asteras TripolisAsteras114431210216
8OFI CreteOFI Crete124441720-316
9AtromitosAtromitos114251616014
10Panserraikos124171622-613
11Volos124171018-813
12LevadiakosLevadiakos111641219-79
13LamiaLamia12156918-98
14Kallithea12075918-97


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