Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 59.01%. A win for H&W Welders had a probability of 21.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest H&W Welders win was 2-1 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.