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Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Nov 11, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
Sao Paulo

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Robson (59')
Robson (39'), Paulista (90+1'), Jussa (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benitez (90+3')
Sara (33'), Nestor (58'), Benitez (79'), Welington (86'), Eder (86'), Luciano (86')

Preview: Fortaleza vs. Sao Paulo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fortaleza will look to bounce back from consecutive defeats and return to the top four of the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A table on Thursday, when they play host to Sao Paulo.

Juan Pablo Vojvoda's side fell short against Corinthians on Saturday to remain in fifth spot, while the visitors were handed a narrow defeat of their own last time out at the hands of Bahia.


Match preview

Fortaleza head coach Juan Pablo Vojvoda pictured on October 7, 2021© Reuters

Having not dropped below fifth at any point this campaign, Fortaleza now find themselves in a precarious position in their pursuit of a top-four finish after back-to-back defeats.

A run of three straight league wins was put to an end by a disappointing defeat to America Mineiro at the end of October, as an 84th-minute Felipe Azevedo goal saw their opponents come out with a 2-1 home win.

They were then handed a second straight loss last time out, as a trip to Corinthians looked set to end goalless until Victor Cantillo made the difference in the 87th minute to send Azevedo's men home empty-handed.

As a result, the Leao do Pici have failed to capitalise on fourth-placed Bragantino's difficult run, and they now find themselves in fifth spot with just a one-point lead over Corinthians, meaning their push for automatic entry into the Copa Libertadores is looking bleaker than ever.

Azevedo's side will certainly feel that is it not too late though, with the chance to move back into the top four if they can bounce back to winning ways on Thursday.

Sao Paulo's Luan celebrates scoring their first goal against Palmeiras, pictured on August 10, 2021© Reuters

They meet a Sao Paulo side who will also look to rebound after a defeat, having fallen to Bahia last time out.

Following 1-0 victories over Corinthians and Internacional, separated by a narrow defeat to Bragantino, the Tricolor Paulista were involved in the same scoreline for the fourth straight time on Sunday, as a Rossi goal in the final 15 minutes proved the difference.

That saw Rogerio Ceni's side drop to 14th spot heading into the final eight games of the campaign, as they find themselves in a heated battle for continental qualification.

With 12th place guaranteeing a spot in the group stage of the Copa Sudamericana, Sao Paulo have just one point to make up, with Cuiaba, Ceara, Athletico Paranaense and America Mineiro all within touching distance, and they will hope to put a victory on board on their travels to stand a chance of climbing back into the top 12.

Fortaleza Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Fortaleza form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

Sao Paulo Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Fortaleza's Benevenuto celebrates scoring with teammates on October 7, 2021© Reuters

After back-to-back defeats, Vojvoda may look to make changes to his Fortaleza side to trigger a reversal of fortunes, although David and Robson will likely continue to lead the line, having netted five and eight league goals respectively so far this campaign.

Matheus Jussa will return after a suspension, and the midfielder should slot straight back into the starting XI, with either Felipe or Matheus Vargas likely making way.

Defender Titi will also come back from a suspension, and he will battle with Jackson to feature in the back three.

Sao Paulo come into the game without forward Emiliano Rigoni, who will be suspended after he was shown his third yellow card of the season last time out.

He will likely be replaced by Pedro, who has netted 13 goals across all competitions this season.

Luan is the only other player likely to miss out, as he battles with an ongoing injury.

Former Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan defender Miranda will continue to lead a back three, with Ecuador international Robert Arboleda also offering protection.

Fortaleza possible starting lineup:
Boeck; Tinga, Benevenuto, Titi; Ronald, Vargas, Jussa, Melo; Lima; Robson, David

Sao Paulo possible starting lineup:
Volpi; Arboleda, Miranda, Leo; Orejuela, Gomes, Liziero, Sara, Reinaldo; Pedro, Luciano


SM words green background

We say: Fortaleza 1-1 Sao Paulo

With both sides desperate to bounce back to get closer to their respective aims, this is bound to be a cagey affair, and we see them cancelling one another out on Thursday.

While the hosts have enjoyed the better season, Sao Paulo also boast plenty of quality in their ranks, and we see them leaving the Castelao with a creditable point.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo

Fortaleza
56.3%
Draw
37.5%
Sao Paulo
6.3%
16
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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