MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 19:15:22| >> :60:628:628:
Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg
Oct 29, 2023 at 1pm UK
Wiklof Holding Arena

Mariehamn
3 - 0
Gnistan

Tehe Olawale (40'), Hopcutt (72'), Ngamba (90+1')
Lahti (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Medo (48'), Woivalin (51'), Kabashi (54')
Kabashi (90+4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs Final clash between IFK Mariehamn and Gnistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gnistan 0-0 Mariehamn
Wednesday, October 25 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs
Last Game: Gnistan 0-0 Mariehamn
Wednesday, October 25 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1HJK Helsinki501.85Radulovic
2Oulu431.48Coffey
3KuPS411.52Nissila
4VPS411.52Godly Michael
5SJK371.32Moreno
6Haka351.30Lescano
7Ilves351.30Haarala
8Inter Turku351.25Smith
9Honka341.17Bauque
10Mariehamn281.04Ngueukam
11Lahti260.96Alves
12KTP210.78Domingues

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
IFK MariehamnDrawGnistan
36.12% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 24.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 39.18% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)44.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)66.66% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (0.016999999999996 0.02)58.41% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Gnistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)22.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)56.08% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    IFK Mariehamn 36.12%
    Gnistan 39.18%
    Draw 24.69%
IFK MariehamnDrawGnistan
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.12%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.1%
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39.18%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 4.30pm
Final 1st Leg
Gnistan
0-0
Mariehamn
Woivalin (34'), Ala-Iso (53'), Linnas (59')
rhs 2.0
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