FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
HD Anywhere Stadium
Malvern Town2 - 1Hereford Pegasus
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Malvern Town and Hereford Pegasus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malvern Town win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Hereford Pegasus had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malvern Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.63%) and 1-0 (5.02%). The likeliest Hereford Pegasus win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Malvern Town in this match.
Result | ||
Malvern Town | Draw | Hereford Pegasus |
45.51% ( -0.32) | 21.41% ( 0.14) | 33.08% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 70.44% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.2% ( -0.66) | 28.8% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.26% ( -0.82) | 49.74% ( 0.82) |
Malvern Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% ( -0.36) | 13.56% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.35% ( -0.72) | 40.65% ( 0.72) |
Hereford Pegasus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% ( -0.23) | 18.51% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.26% ( -0.39) | 49.74% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Malvern Town 45.51%
Hereford Pegasus 33.08%
Draw 21.41%
Malvern Town | Draw | Hereford Pegasus |
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.6% Total : 33.08% |
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Malvern Town
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-09 09:30:38
1.20am
Rams
@
Lions
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
3 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Bournemouth | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
11 | Chelsea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
12 | Fulham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 |
19 | Southampton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
20 | Everton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
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