Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.