FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK

KCOM Stadium

Hull City
2 - 0
Fleetwood

Magennis (31'), Burke (63')
Smallwood (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Connolly (58'), Madden (66'), Holgate (88')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Hull City and Fleetwood Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.

Result
Hull City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
36.85%	26.65%	36.49%

Both teams to score 52.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.04%

52.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44%

74.55%

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24%

27.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67%

63.33%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03%

27.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4%

63.6%

Score Analysis

Hull City 36.85%

Fleetwood Town 36.49%

Draw 26.65%

Hull City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.85%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.49%