Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnham win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Corsham Town had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Corsham Town win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
-0.34) 
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