Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amersham Town win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Athletic Newham had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amersham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.07%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Athletic Newham win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
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