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Attendance: 38,772
Everton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 11, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Brighton logo

1-0

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Everton vs. Brighton & Hove Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Everton's meeting with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League, including a prediction, team news and predicted lineups.

Carlo Ancelotti will be desperate to see his Everton side make a return to winning ways when they meet Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday.

The Toffees were wasteful going forward during a 1-0 defeat against Liverpool's youngsters in the FA Cup last weekend, while Brighton were also dumped out of the competition following a 1-0 loss to Sheffield Wednesday.


Match preview

Carlo Ancelotti in charge of Napoli on August 4, 2018© Reuters

Everton's players will know that they wasted their greatest chance to record a victory at Anfield in years by faltering against Jurgen Klopp's band of teenagers last weekend.

Reports claim that Ancelotti launched a furious tirade at his players following the game, with several members, such as Gylfi Sigurdsson and Jordan Pickford, at risk of losing their places.

The Everton manager will hope that last weekend's loss was more down to a psychological block - they have not won at Anfield since 1999 - as opposed to any technical shortcomings.

After all, prior to that defeat, the club recorded a pair of victories over Burnley and Newcastle United ahead of battling impressively away at Manchester City.

As they return to Goodison Park to face the Seagulls, Everton supporters will expect their team to play with much more panache and zip compared with what they displayed at Anfield last time out.

Lewis Dunk celebrates for Brighton on December 5, 2019© Reuters

While Everton have oscillated between extremes this season, Brighton's results under new boss Graham Potter have largely reflected their previous two years in the Premier League.

Sitting 14th in the table, four points above the relegation zone, the Seagulls rarely dazzle with their football but also hardly ever fall below a particular level of performance.

They have proven to be tricky opponents for the big clubs, beating Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal in convincing fashion while also holding Chelsea to a draw over the Christmas period.

With a core group including the likes of Davy Propper, Lewis Dunk and Pascal Gross as well as exciting young talents such as Neal Maupay and Aaron Connolly, there is enough in this team to suggest that they are capable of avoiding the drop this season.

That said, Potter must be conscious of the club's poor away form - just two wins from 10 outings - and will view Saturday's game, against an unpredictable Everton side, as an excellent chance to impress on the road.

Everton Premier League form: WDDWWL
Everton form (all competitions): LDWWLL

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form: DDLLWD
Brighton & Hove Albion form (all competitions): DLLWDL


Team News

Everton's Andre Gomes reacts after sustaining an injury on November 3, 2019© Reuters

For Everton, Andre Gomes remains the club's only long-term absentee after breaking his ankle against Spurs in November.

Alex Iwobi and Jean-Philippe Gbamin are both nearing returns to action following respective thigh issues, although this game comes too soon for the pair.

Glenn Murray and Solly March could return for Brighton ahead of this game, although Dan Burn and Jose Izquierdo are not expected to come back until next month.

Leon Balogun, who has a thigh injury, is the club's only long-term absentee, with no timescale yet available on when he may return.

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Mina, Holgate; Sidibe, Schneiderlin, Delph, Digne; Walcott, Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Ryan; Montoya, Webster, Dunk, Burn; Propper, Alzate, Gross, Mooy; Connolly, Maupay


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Everton 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

This promises to be a cagey affair, with the home team expected to put on a performance and the away side set to remain solid and wait for their moment. Everton are likely to make more of the running, but there is a feeling that Brighton will find a way of staying in the game and snatching a goal of their own.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.05%).


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Lewis Dunk celebrates for Brighton on December 5, 2019
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
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