Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Kukesi had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Kukesi win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.