UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK

Sportni Park

Domzale
1 - 4
Balzan

(Balzan win 5-4 on aggregate)

Kovacevic (57' pen.)
Duric (45+1')
Husmani (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Andrejic (8'), Grech (44' pen.), Olawale (53'), Zerjal (90+4')
Grech (22'), Braunovic (34'), Andrejic (38'), Fenech (58'), Briffa (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between NK Domzale and Balzan.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Domzale

Last Game: Domzale 1-2 Rosenborg
Tuesday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Balzan

Last Game: Domzale 1-0 Balzan
Thursday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Europa League Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Balzan had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Balzan win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
NK Domzale	Draw	Balzan
43.63% ( -0.07)	24.1% ( 0)	32.26% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 59.88% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.56% (

0.01)

42.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.16% (

0.01)

64.84% (

-0.01)

NK Domzale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

-0.03)

19.65% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.37% (

-0.04)

51.63% (

0.05)

Balzan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

0.04)

25.46% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.7% (

0.06)

60.29% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

NK Domzale 43.63%

Balzan 32.26%

Draw 24.1%

NK Domzale	Draw	Balzan
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.63%	1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.26%