Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cukaricki win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Racing FC had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cukaricki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Racing FC win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cukaricki would win this match.