Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Cukaricki had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Cukaricki win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.