Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Cukaricki1 - 3FC Twente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 FC Twente
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Cukaricki 1-2 FC Twente
Cukaricki will hope to catch FC Twente cold given that it is the Dutch side's first competitive match of the season. While we would not be surprised to see the Serbian side keep things competitive, we expect the visitors to have a little too much quality and secure a narrow victory as a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Cukaricki had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Cukaricki win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Cukaricki | Draw | FC Twente |
25.8% ( 0.04) | 23.36% ( 0.02) | 50.83% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.01% ( -0.07) | 42.98% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% ( -0.07) | 65.38% ( 0.07) |
Cukaricki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( -0.01) | 30.17% ( 0) |