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[monks data]
Egypt national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 19, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Sudan national football team

Egypt
1 - 0
Sudan

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hassan (38'), Mahjoub (52')

Preview: Egypt vs. Sudan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Egypt and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Separated by just two points in Group D of the Africa Cup of Nations, Egypt and Sudan go head to head at the Ahmadou Ahidjo Stadium on Wednesday.

While a share of the spoils will take the Pharaohs through to the knockout stages, the Falcons of Jediane need to secure all three points after picking up one point from their first two games.


Match preview

Egypt attacker Mohamed Salah pictured in November 2021© Reuters

Egypt got their Africa Cup of Nations campaign up and running last Saturday when they claimed a hard-earned 1-0 win over a resilient Guinea-Bissau side.

In a cagey contest at the Roumde Adjia Stadium, the Djurtus put on a superb defensive performance to keep the game scoreless heading into the break before Liverpool star Mohamed Salah grabbed the winner in the 69th minute.

This followed a 1-0 loss to Nigeria in their group opener last Tuesday when Leicester City forward Kelechi Iheanacho scored the only goal of the game on the half-hour mark.

Egypt, who are the most decorated nation on the continent with a record seven AFCON titles, are currently second in Group D, two points above Sudan and three behind Nigeria, who have already secured a spot in the knockout stages.

Carlos Queiroz's men must now avoid a defeat on Wednesday to ensure their place in the round of 16, where they were sent packing three years ago when they fell to a 1-0 defeat against South Africa.

Egypt attacker Mohamed Salah pictured in November 2021© Reuters

Sudan, on the other hand, will head into the game seeking all three points to keep their qualification chances alive after failing to win their opening two games.

The Falcons of Jediane, who clinched a place in Cameroon after finishing runners-up to Ghana in Group C of the qualifiers, got their AFCON run off to a somewhat impressive start as they played out a goalless draw with Guinea-Bissau last Tuesday.

However, this was followed by a humbling 3-1 defeat at the hands of group leaders Nigeria, who have hit the ground running and booked their place in the knockout stages.

Samuel Chukwueze, Taiwo Awoniyi and Moses Simon were all on target to put the Super Eagles in a commanding three-goal lead inside the opening 46 minutes before Walieldin Khidir grabbed a consolation goal from the penalty spot with 20 minutes left to play.

Sudan have now failed to taste victory in 12 consecutive outings, picking up four draws and suffering eight defeats since a 1-0 win over Libya in the Arab Cup qualifiers back in June 2021.

Wednesday's game will be the second meeting between the two sides in a little over a month, after Egypt cruised to an emphatic 5-0 win in Group D of the Arab Cup on December 4.

Egypt Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • L
  • W

Egypt form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Sudan Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • D
  • L

Sudan form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L


Team News

Egypt coach Carlos Queiroz attends a training session at Cairo stadium during their final training camp, ahead of the African Cup of Nations which is scheduled to take place in Cameroon on January 3, 2022© Reuters

Salah opened his account at the tournament with his winner against Guinea-Bissau last time out and the Liverpool man will look to come up trumps for Egypt once again.

He should be joined in attack by 24-year-old Mostafa Mohamed, who has scored five goals in six starting appearances for Galatasaray in the Turkish Super Lig.

At the heart of the park, we should see Arsenal midfielder Mohamed Elneny team up with the duo of Amr Al-Sulaya and Abdallah El-Said, who are both based in the Egyptian division.

Meanwhile, Musab Eisa failed to make his mark against Nigeria last time out, where he was hooked off at half time, and the 28-year-old could drop to the Sudan bench.

Salaheldin Nemer was a forced substitute after sustaining a late injury in the aforementioned game and the Al-Merrikh defender is a doubt for the Falcons of Jediane.

Egypt possible starting lineup:
El-Shennawy; Kamal, Hegazi, Hamdi, Ashraf; Fathi, El-Sulya, Elneny; Mohamed, Marmoush, Salah

Sudan possible starting lineup:
Abou; Elfadni, Karshoum, Hassan, Mohamedein; Al Rasheed, Khidir; A Omer, Hamed, G Omer, Eisa


SM words green background

We say: Egypt 2-0 Sudan

Given that a place in the next round is at stake here, we anticipate a fiery contest with both sides taking the game to each other in search of all three points. However, looking at the clear gulf in quality between the two sides, we anticipate Egypt will come out with the win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.


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Game History

How you voted: Egypt vs Sudan

Egypt
84.6%
Draw
8.8%
Sudan
6.6%
91
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Equatorial Guinea flag Eq Guinea32107
Q Nigeria Nigeria32107
Q Cote D'Ivoire flag Ivory Coast31023
4 Guinea-Bissau flag Guinea-Bissau30030

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Cape Verde flag Cape Verde32107
Q Egypt Egypt30303
3 Ghana flag Ghana30212
4 Mozambique flag Mozambique30212

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Senegal flag Senegal33009
Q Guinea flag Guinea31114
Q Cameroon flag Cameroon31114
4 Gambia flag Gambia30030

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Angola Angola32107
Q Burkina Faso flag Burkina Faso31114
Q Mauritania flag Mauritania31023
4 Algeria Algeria30212

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Mali flag Mali31205
Q South Africa South Africa31114
Q Namibia Namibia31114
4 Tunisia Tunisia30212

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Morocco Morocco32107
Q DR Congo flag Congo DR30303
3 Tanzania flag Tanzania30212
4 Zambia flag Zambia30212


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